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Manufacturing and Defence · indicator 48

Mobile phone import dependence by units

Modi ahead

No comparable cross-country series exists for this measure, so no synthetic counterfactual can be estimated. The verdict here compares observed Indian figures over time — a weaker basis than the estimated indicators.

2014

74.00

baseline

2024

0.800

latest observed

Change

-99%

2014 vs latest observed

What this measures

Mobile phone import dependence by units, in percent of domestic demand; lower is better. A falling number is an improvement. Reported by MeitY / PIB.

It stood at 74.00 in 2014, and under Modi’s current India reached 0.800 by 2024 — a fall of 99%. That is an improvement against India’s pre-2014 figure.

No comparison country reports an equivalent series, so there is no Rahul's India to compare against. This is a before-and-after reading, not a treatment effect.

Decade totals

percent of domestic demand; lower is better · MeitY / PIB

Why no counterfactual

import dependence -> ICT goods imports %

Observation quality

2010

No sufficiently comparable observation located

2014
74.00

Nearest published observation used · FY2014-15

2024
0.800

Nearest published observation used · FY2023-24/2024

2026
0.020

Requested year not yet published; latest observation repeated · FY2024-25

Different official releases use 'share made in India' and 'import dependence' definitions; compare cautiously.

The counterfactual is 'India without the 2014 structural break', estimated from comparator countries. It is not a forecast of any individual's policies.