Manufacturing and Defence · indicator 47

Mobile phone exports

Modi ahead

No comparable cross-country series exists for this measure, so no synthetic counterfactual can be estimated. The verdict here compares observed Indian figures over time — a weaker basis than the estimated indicators.

2014

1500

baseline

2026

259,000

latest observed

Change

+17167%

2014 vs latest observed

What this measures

Mobile phone exports, in INR crore. A rising number is an improvement. Reported by MeitY / PIB.

It stood at 1500 in 2014, and under Modi’s current India reached 259,000 by 2026 — a rise of 17167%. That is an improvement against India’s pre-2014 figure.

No comparison country reports an equivalent series, so there is no Rahul's India to compare against. This is a before-and-after reading, not a treatment effect.

Decade totals

INR crore · MeitY / PIB

Why no counterfactual

mobile exports -> ICT goods exports %

Observation quality

2010: —
2014: 1500
2024: 129,000
2026: 259,000

The counterfactual is 'India without the 2014 structural break', estimated from comparator countries. It is not a forecast of any individual's policies.