Poverty, Healthcare and Human Development · indicator 35
Multidimensional poverty
Modi aheadNo comparable cross-country series exists for this measure, so no synthetic counterfactual can be estimated. The verdict here compares observed Indian figures over time — a weaker basis than the estimated indicators.
2014
29.17
baseline
2024
11.28
latest observed
Change
-61%
2014 vs latest observed
What this measures
Multidimensional poverty, in percent of population; lower is better. A falling number is an improvement. Reported by NITI Aayog National Multidimensional Poverty Index.
It stood at 29.17 in 2014, and under Modi’s current India reached 11.28 by 2024 — a fall of 61%. That is an improvement against India’s pre-2014 figure.
No comparison country reports an equivalent series, so there is no Rahul's India to compare against. This is a before-and-after reading, not a treatment effect.
Decade totals
percent of population; lower is better · NITI Aayog National Multidimensional Poverty Index
Why no counterfactual
MPI -> $2.15 headcount
Observation quality
- 2010
- 55.34
- 2014
- 29.17
- 2024
- 11.28
- 2026
- 11.28
Nearest published observation used · 2005-06
Official or modelled projection · 2013-14
Nearest published observation used · 2022-23
Requested year not yet published; latest observation repeated · 2022-23
The counterfactual is 'India without the 2014 structural break', estimated from comparator countries. It is not a forecast of any individual's policies.