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Sanitation · indicator 31

Population practising open defecation

Modi ahead

Same source and the same problem as rural sanitation coverage: an interpolated JMP trend, matched against other interpolated trends. The 0.2% pre-2014 fit measures the smoothness of the series, not the quality of the counterfactual. The verdict here compares observed Indian figures over time — a weaker basis than the estimated indicators.

2014

33.10

baseline

2024

7.00

latest observed

Change

-79%

2014 vs latest observed

What this measures

Population practising open defecation, in % of population. A falling number is an improvement. Reported by WHO/UNICEF Joint Monitoring Programme / World Bank.

It stood at 33.10 in 2014, and under Modi’s current India reached 7.00 by 2024 — a fall of 79%. That is an improvement against India’s pre-2014 figure.

No comparison country reports an equivalent series, so there is no Rahul's India to compare against. This is a before-and-after reading, not a treatment effect.

Year by year

% of population · annual series, 2000–2024. Bars from 2014 in orange. No counterfactual is estimated — no comparator country reports an equivalent series.

Decade totals

% of population · WHO/UNICEF Joint Monitoring Programme / World Bank

Why no counterfactual

Same source and the same problem as rural sanitation coverage: an interpolated JMP trend, matched against other interpolated trends. The 0.2% pre-2014 fit measures the smoothness of the series, not the quality of the counterfactual.

Observation quality

2010
44.40

Nearest published observation used · 2010

2014
33.10

Nearest published observation used · 2014

2024
7.00

Nearest published observation used · 2024

2026
7.00

Requested year not yet published; latest observation repeated · 2024

Share of the population practising open defecation, WHO/UNICEF JMP estimate. Shown as observed change over the decade rather than against a counterfactual.

The counterfactual is 'India without the 2014 structural break', estimated from comparator countries. It is not a forecast of any individual's policies.