Energy and Household Infrastructure · indicator 29

Installed wind power capacity

Modi ahead

No comparable cross-country series exists for this measure, so no synthetic counterfactual can be estimated. The verdict here compares observed Indian figures over time — a weaker basis than the estimated indicators.

2014

21.04

baseline

2026

58.14

latest observed

Change

+176%

2014 vs latest observed

What this measures

Installed wind power capacity, in GW. A rising number is an improvement. Reported by Ministry of New & Renewable Energy.

It stood at 21.04 in 2014, and under Modi’s current India reached 58.14 by 2026 — a rise of 176%. That is an improvement against India’s pre-2014 figure.

No comparison country reports an equivalent series, so there is no Rahul's India to compare against. This is a before-and-after reading, not a treatment effect.

Decade totals

GW · Ministry of New & Renewable Energy

Why no counterfactual

Wind capacity is geography-constrained and lumpy. Best available fit (per-capita, 12 donors) is 29% of the pre-period mean and India ranks last of 13 on placebo fit — no donor combination tracks its path.

Observation quality

2010: 11.93
2014: 21.04
2024: 45.89
2026: 58.14

The counterfactual is 'India without the 2014 structural break', estimated from comparator countries. It is not a forecast of any individual's policies.