Left-wing extremism · indicator 207
Security personnel killed by LWE
Modi aheadNo comparable cross-country series exists for this measure, so no synthetic counterfactual can be estimated. The verdict here compares observed Indian figures over time — a weaker basis than the estimated indicators.
2014
1851
baseline
2024
509
latest observed
Change
-73%
2014 vs latest observed
What this measures
Security personnel killed by LWE, in deaths. A falling number is an improvement. Reported by Ministry of Home Affairs / PIB · annual series from SATP.
It stood at 1851 in 2014, and under Modi’s current India reached 509 by 2024 — a fall of 73%. That is an improvement against India’s pre-2014 figure.
No comparison country reports an equivalent series, so there is no Rahul's India to compare against. This is a before-and-after reading, not a treatment effect.
Year by year
deaths · annual series, 2000–2024. Bars from 2014 in orange. No counterfactual is estimated — no comparator country reports an equivalent series.
Decade totals
deaths · Ministry of Home Affairs / PIB · annual series from SATP
Why no counterfactual
Decade totals for India only, from Ministry of Home Affairs reporting. No comparator country publishes an equivalent series, and there is no annual breakdown, so no counterfactual can be estimated.
Observation quality
- 2010
- 1851
- 2014
- 1851
- 2024
- 509
- 2026
- 509
Nearest published observation used · 2004-2014 total
Nearest published observation used · 2004-2014 total
Nearest published observation used · 2014-2024 total
Requested year not yet published; latest observation repeated · 2014-2024 total
Pre-2014 covers 2004–2014 and post-2014 covers 2014–2024; official comparisons include 2014 in both, so treat as decade-level.
The counterfactual is 'India without the 2014 structural break', estimated from comparator countries. It is not a forecast of any individual's policies.