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Health · indicator 110

Child stunting (under 5)

Modi ahead

No comparable cross-country series exists for this measure, so no synthetic counterfactual can be estimated. The verdict here compares observed Indian figures over time — a weaker basis than the estimated indicators.

2014

38.70

baseline

2024

35.50

latest observed

Change

-8%

2014 vs latest observed

What this measures

Child stunting (under 5), in % of children. A falling number is an improvement. Reported by World Bank WDI.

It stood at 38.70 in 2014, and under Modi’s current India reached 35.50 by 2024 — a fall of 8%. That is an improvement against India’s pre-2014 figure.

No comparison country reports an equivalent series, so there is no Rahul's India to compare against. This is a before-and-after reading, not a treatment effect.

Decade totals

% of children · World Bank WDI

Why no counterfactual

no balanced pre-2014 window — India has too few observations for a balanced donor block.

Observation quality

2010
47.80

Nearest published observation used · 2006

2014
38.70

Comparable observation for the requested year · 2014

2024
35.50

Nearest published observation used · 2020

2026
35.50

Requested year not yet published; latest observation repeated · 2020

Standard development indicator, not part of the original 50.

The counterfactual is 'India without the 2014 structural break', estimated from comparator countries. It is not a forecast of any individual's policies.