Inequality · indicator 106

Income inequality (Gini)

Modi ahead

No comparable cross-country series exists for this measure, so no synthetic counterfactual can be estimated. The verdict here compares observed Indian figures over time — a weaker basis than the estimated indicators.

2014

28.80

baseline

2024

25.50

latest observed

Change

-12%

2014 vs latest observed

What this measures

Income inequality (Gini), in index. A falling number is an improvement. Reported by World Bank WDI.

It stood at 28.80 in 2014, and under Modi’s current India reached 25.50 by 2024 — a fall of 12%. That is an improvement against India’s pre-2014 figure.

No comparison country reports an equivalent series, so there is no Rahul's India to compare against. This is a before-and-after reading, not a treatment effect.

Decade totals

index · World Bank WDI

Why no counterfactual

no balanced pre-2014 window — India has too few observations for a balanced donor block.

Observation quality

2010: 27.80
2014: 28.80
2024: 25.50
2026: 25.50

Standard development indicator, not part of the original 50.

The counterfactual is 'India without the 2014 structural break', estimated from comparator countries. It is not a forecast of any individual's policies.