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Manufacturing and Defence · indicator 45

Electronics exports

Modi ahead

No comparable cross-country series exists for this measure, so no synthetic counterfactual can be estimated. The verdict here compares observed Indian figures over time — a weaker basis than the estimated indicators.

2014

38,263

baseline

2026

424,000

latest observed

Change

+1008%

2014 vs latest observed

What this measures

Electronics exports, in INR crore. A rising number is an improvement. Reported by MeitY / Economic Survey / PIB.

It stood at 38,263 in 2014, and under Modi’s current India reached 424,000 by 2026 — a rise of 1008%. That is an improvement against India’s pre-2014 figure.

No comparison country reports an equivalent series, so there is no Rahul's India to compare against. This is a before-and-after reading, not a treatment effect.

Decade totals

INR crore · MeitY / Economic Survey / PIB

Why no counterfactual

electronics exports -> high-technology exports

Observation quality

2010
31,250

Older data under a somewhat different definition · FY2009-10

2014
38,263

Nearest published observation used · FY2014-15

2024
241,000

Comparable observation for the requested year · FY2023-24

2026
424,000

Comparable observation for the requested year · FY2025-26

The counterfactual is 'India without the 2014 structural break', estimated from comparator countries. It is not a forecast of any individual's policies.